A question I get a lot from novice punters is what does even mean in sports betting. In my opinion it means anything that makes the other team win. For example a goal difference of one or two goals can be referred to as even. The same applies to a goal difference of three or four goals. So a team that is even can still be called on to win. So what does even mean in sports betting?
In the context of a football game this means that the team with the most forward progress, with most shots on goal and who are playing better will win. So we have goalscorers, forwards, midfielders, and fullbacks on the team. We have a definite player who needs to score. This is the team forward who is likely to score the most goals. We have a striker or forward who is probably the driving force behind the team.
Now we know who the players are and how they contribute to the overall team goal, but how about the rest of the team? Do we need goalkeepers, defenders, or midfielders? What about midfielders? Are there any play makers? Or are we just waiting for one player to make a goal and then another to add to the count?
So now we arrive at the crux of the matter. The question is, what does even mean in sports betting? If we look at it logically, the team with the most forward progression will win. This is because the team with the most forwards is the one with the highest probability of scoring a goal.
This leaves the other team with a number of choices. They can either sit back and wait for the clock to run out, or hope that their defence is good enough to prevent scoring goals on their own. If they do, then the final score will reflect that. The problem with this approach is that teams playing at evens often have an advantage, since the odd goal makes the final result much more even. In such a scenario, betting on a team with a lot of even chances is like gambling. And that in turn leads us to our next tip.
It is important not to bet based purely on favourites alone. Remember that favourites can change dramatically over the course of a game. A favourite can start out tight and stay that way until something drastic happens. For instance, a team may have a one-goal lead at one stage and end up losing by a single goal in the next. That happens because the favourites have become too dependent on their form and haven’t developed any sort of ability to perform when it matters. This means that the likelihood of a team winning greatly depends on whether it is riding a hot streak or riding a cold streak.
Once you have decided that your favourite team or player is worth betting on, remember to take into account the form of the opposition as well. If the form of the opposition is poor, there are many games where they could bounce back and get a few points. However, if the form of their players is poor, they might find it very difficult to win. If you can spot these situations, it becomes much easier to judge when it’s best to bet on a team and when it is not.
I hope that this article has given you some food for thought on what does even mean in sports betting. Most importantly, it has shown you how to separate the facts from the fiction when it comes to betting on sporting events. There are many factors that can affect the outcome of a sporting event. Taking the time to arm yourself with knowledge is the first step towards ensuring that you earn money through successful betting.